Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
82.33 – 33.9
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
69 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 16.71Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 18.92Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 46.7Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 112.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 39Event APEX 18.5Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX -3.83Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 19.23Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3336, 11285, 11179
77
/ 100 compatProjected
82.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3336, 11285, 11179
Auto
23.6 29%
Teleop
43.2 54%
Endgame
13.7 17%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9559, 3459, 10121
43
/ 100 compatProjected
33.9 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9559, 3459, 10121
Auto
6.8 24%
Teleop
16.7 59%
Endgame
4.6 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score82.3pts
Blue projected score33.9pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 16%, blue 10%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 48.4
- Score range
- 23–93
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
168.8Season APEX112.5
23.6Auto6.8
43.2Teleop16.7
13.7Endgame4.6
0Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 9 |
| teleop | 28 | 24 |
| endgame | 23 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 69 | 46 |
Result
Final score
69 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.