Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.45 – 90.49

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

58 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.3 ±10.5

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 30.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX -3.95Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 52.29Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.8 ±10.4

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 17.6Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 19.1Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 53.79Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4861, 3459, 4561

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4861, 3459, 4561

Auto

18.9 26%

Teleop

41.1 57%

Endgame

11.7 16%

Strengths

· 4561 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9788, 4828, 11179

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9788, 4828, 11179

Auto

17.4 20%

Teleop

42.8 50%

Endgame

26.0 30%

Strengths

· 11179 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.5pts

Blue projected score90.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12
Score range: 69–99
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 105 vs event baseline 52.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.3Season APEX199.8

18.9Auto17.4

41.1Teleop42.8

11.7Endgame26

69Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	27
teleop	42	9
endgame	11	11
foul	0	0
total	58	47

Result

Final score

58 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.