Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

19.65 – 18.16

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

65 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.2 ±11.7

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 10.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 1.51Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

435Robodogs

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 7.5Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 122.1 ±12.8

10121TMSA MechaTiger

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 14.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10072WhirlyBots

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX -6.42Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4816Gadget Girls

Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 10.16Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5160, 10302, 435

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5160, 10302, 435

Auto

11.5 62%

Teleop

5.2 28%

Endgame

1.9 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10121, 10072, 4816

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10121, 10072, 4816

Auto

8.8 42%

Teleop

10.9 52%

Endgame

1.1 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score19.7pts

Blue projected score18.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.5
Score range: 9–29
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 51.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.2Season APEX122.1

11.5Auto8.8

5.2Teleop10.9

1.9Endgame1.1

65Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	9
teleop	47	7
endgame	6	7
foul	0	0
total	65	23

Result

Final score

65 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.