Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.28 – 101.92

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.2 ±12.2

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 43.1Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10354Sting

Season APEX 31Event APEX 15.38Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10072WhirlyBots

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX -3.2Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.3 ±11

5919JoCo RoBos

Season APEX 24Event APEX 13.87Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 66.28Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

587The Hedgehogs

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 21.77Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11179, 10354, 10072

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11179, 10354, 10072

Auto

18.7 34%

Teleop

21.3 39%

Endgame

14.6 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5919, 2059, 587

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5919, 2059, 587

Auto

22.8 22%

Teleop

54.9 53%

Endgame

25.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.3pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.6
Score range: 41–116
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 74 vs event baseline 78.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.2Season APEX258.3

18.7Auto22.8

21.3Teleop54.9

14.6Endgame25.1

46Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	9
teleop	11	12
endgame	9	21
foul	0	0
total	32	42

Result

Final score

32 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.