Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

6.54 – 12.07

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.7 ±13.3

10072WhirlyBots

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX -3.66Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6240Eagles of the Knight

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -1.31Rank 29Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9042SOARIN

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 11.51Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.7 ±10.5

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 8.48Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 12.91Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10354Sting

Season APEX 31Event APEX -9.32Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10072, 6240, 9042

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10072, 6240, 9042

Auto

12.1 100%

Teleop

-2.5 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9559, 8429, 10354

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9559, 8429, 10354

Auto

3.2 43%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

4.3 57%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score6.5pts

Blue projected score12.1pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.5
Score range: -2–21
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 53 vs event baseline 49.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.7Season APEX256.7

12.1Auto3.2

-2.5Teleop0

0Endgame4.3

31Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	10
teleop	9	19
endgame	4	6
foul	0	0
total	18	35

Result

Final score

18 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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