Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.23 – 21.61

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

75 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±11

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 11.36Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6502DARC SIDE

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 20.53Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 29.34Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.3 ±10.4

10302Byte Force

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 0.93Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

587The Hedgehogs

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 11.65Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8738Slice

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 9.03Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5160, 6502, 4861

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5160, 6502, 4861

Auto

11.6 19%

Teleop

28.6 46%

Endgame

22.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10302, 587, 8738

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10302, 587, 8738

Auto

11.0 43%

Teleop

8.5 33%

Endgame

5.9 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.2pts

Blue projected score21.6pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.6
Score range: 13–70
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 49.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.8Season APEX264.3

11.6Auto11

28.6Teleop8.5

22.3Endgame5.9

51Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	15
teleop	35	24
endgame	23	4
foul	0	0
total	75	43

Result

Final score

75 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.