Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.64 – 32.82

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 111.1 ±12.2

4816Gadget Girls

Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 10.59Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11285Purple Autobots

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 5.5Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5919JoCo RoBos

Season APEX 24Event APEX 2.55Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±11.7

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 22.14Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11353Visionary Sparks

Season APEX 42Event APEX 7.63Rank 22Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

435Robodogs

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 3.05Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4816, 11285, 5919

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4816, 11285, 5919

Auto

7.5 44%

Teleop

10.9 64%

Endgame

-1.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4828, 11353, 435

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4828, 11353, 435

Auto

13.3 43%

Teleop

6.7 22%

Endgame

11.1 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.6pts

Blue projected score32.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.2
Score range: 10–42
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 89 vs event baseline 47.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

111.1Season APEX180.2

7.5Auto13.3

10.9Teleop6.7

-1.4Endgame11.1

24Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	26
teleop	13	42
endgame	0	2
foul	0	0
total	19	70

Result

Final score

19 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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