Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
53 – 22.18
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
99 – 30
Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 29.9Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.7Event APEX -0.04Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 23.14Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 4.94Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 8.25Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42Event APEX 8.99Rank 22Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2059, 8429, 4828
71
/ 100 compatProjected
53 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2059, 8429, 4828
Auto
20.1 39%
Teleop
18.8 37%
Endgame
12.6 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11161, 10302, 11353
30
/ 100 compatProjected
22.2 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 11161, 10302, 11353
Auto
14.2 59%
Teleop
6.5 27%
Endgame
3.4 14%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 0.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score53pts
Blue projected score22.2pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 4%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 30.8
- Score range
- 14–61
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
380.7Season APEX137.1
20.1Auto14.2
18.8Teleop6.5
12.6Endgame3.4
79Consistency80
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 17 |
| teleop | 53 | 9 |
| endgame | 39 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 99 | 30 |
Result
Final score
99 – 30
Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.