Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
8.34 – 41.34
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
82 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 38.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 2.95Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 12.9Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX -7.51Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 21.36Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 10.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 9.7Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9789, 11179, 11161
31
/ 100 compatProjected
8.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9789, 11179, 11161
Auto
5.1 43%
Teleop
4.5 38%
Endgame
2.2 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 8%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3229, 587, 9559
61
/ 100 compatProjected
41.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3229, 587, 9559
Auto
10.8 28%
Teleop
10.8 28%
Endgame
17.5 45%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 8%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score8.3pts
Blue projected score41.3pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 8%, blue 7%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -33
- Score range
- 0–49
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
146.7Season APEX223.8
5.1Auto10.8
4.5Teleop10.8
2.2Endgame17.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 14 |
| teleop | 38 | 14 |
| endgame | 17 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 82 | 44 |
Result
Final score
82 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 38.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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