Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

175.39 – 187.46

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 4.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±10.4

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 75.82Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 72.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 26.78Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.1 ±11

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 87.17Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 25.11Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 75.18Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4534, 4829, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4534, 4829, 9005

Auto

31.3 19%

Teleop

92.7 56%

Endgame

42.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9297, 3893, 2059

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9297, 3893, 2059

Auto

26.9 14%

Teleop

113.5 61%

Endgame

46.2 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.4pts

Blue projected score187.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.1
Score range: 152–210
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 371 vs event baseline 128.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231Season APEX236.1

31.3Auto26.9

92.7Teleop113.5

42.4Endgame46.2

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	19
teleop	84	73
endgame	60	80
foul	15	15
total	184	187

Result

Final score

184 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 4.5 pts

Match videos

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