Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
419.59 – 97.29
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
577 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 79.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 608.6 ±8.8
Season APEX 265Event APEX 190.05Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 14.79Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9496LYNK
A+
Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 214.75Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.6 ±11
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 9.67Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 44.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 43.52Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9032, 3336, 9496
82
/ 100 compatProjected
419.6 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9032, 3336, 9496
Auto
91.2 22%
Teleop
238.1 57%
Endgame
88.8 21%
Strengths
- · 9496 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11146, 6894, 9042
55
/ 100 compatProjected
97.3 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 11146, 6894, 9042
Auto
24.0 25%
Teleop
46.6 48%
Endgame
26.4 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score419.6pts
Blue projected score97.3pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 322.3
- Score range
- 74–443
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
608.6Season APEX167.6
91.2Auto24
238.1Teleop46.6
88.8Endgame26.4
0Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 103 | 26 |
| teleop | 310 | 38 |
| endgame | 164 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 577 | 99 |
Result
Final score
577 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 79.6 pts
Match videos
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