Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.21 – 82.95

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.1 ±11

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 87.48Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 24.64Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 76.09Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.6 ±11.7

5607Team Firewall

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 46.4Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 14.96Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

435Robodogs

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 21.59Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9297, 3893, 2059

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9297, 3893, 2059

Auto

25.3 14%

Teleop

115.9 62%

Endgame

45.9 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5607, 3459, 435

/ 100 compat

Projected

83 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5607, 3459, 435

Auto

23.0 29%

Teleop

33.3 42%

Endgame

22.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score188.2pts

Blue projected score83pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.3
Score range: 60–211
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 126.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.1Season APEX160.6

25.3Auto23

115.9Teleop33.3

45.9Endgame22.5

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	25
teleop	108	38
endgame	53	48
foul	0	0
total	197	111

Result

Final score

197 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.