Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
89.58 – 111.62
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
135 – 129
Prediction missed · off by 31.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.6 ±11
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 6.84Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 41.71Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 41.03Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 28.76Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 44.14Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 38.72Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11146, 6894, 9042
53
/ 100 compatProjected
89.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11146, 6894, 9042
Auto
23.6 26%
Teleop
44.7 50%
Endgame
21.3 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7443, 6729, 6004
52
/ 100 compatProjected
111.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7443, 6729, 6004
Auto
9.1 9%
Teleop
54.1 53%
Endgame
38.3 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score89.6pts
Blue projected score111.6pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -22
- Score range
- 67–135
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
167.6Season APEX160.1
23.6Auto9.1
44.7Teleop54.1
21.3Endgame38.3
33Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 16 |
| teleop | 55 | 74 |
| endgame | 50 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 135 | 129 |
Result
Final score
135 – 129
Prediction missed · off by 31.4 pts
Match videos
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