Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

392.11 – 75.43

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

535 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 89.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 608.6 ±8.8

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 180.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 6.74Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 205.02Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241 ±11.6

5190Falcon Fury

Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 20.94Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 23.6Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 30.89Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 3336, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 3336, 9496

Auto

96.7 25%

Teleop

220.4 56%

Endgame

73.0 19%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5190, 11417, 9198

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.4 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5190, 11417, 9198

Auto

14.7 21%

Teleop

34.3 48%

Endgame

21.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score392.1pts

Blue projected score75.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 316.7
Score range: 53–414
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 647 vs event baseline 123.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

608.6Season APEX241

96.7Auto14.7

220.4Teleop34.3

73Endgame21.8

0Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	19
teleop	307	42
endgame	155	26
foul	0	25
total	535	112

Result

Final score

535 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 89.7 pts

Match videos

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