Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

445.85 – 187.81

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

570 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 87.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 608.6 ±8.8

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 199.33Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 23.16Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 223.36Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.1 ±11

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 25.52Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 86.73Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 75.56Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 3336, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 3336, 9496

Auto

93.1 21%

Teleop

250.8 56%

Endgame

100.9 23%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3893, 9297, 2059

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3893, 9297, 2059

Auto

25.4 14%

Teleop

107.3 58%

Endgame

51.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score445.9pts

Blue projected score187.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 258
Score range: 165–469
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 707 vs event baseline 128.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

608.6Season APEX236.1

93.1Auto25.4

250.8Teleop107.3

100.9Endgame51.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	109	28
teleop	290	62
endgame	166	42
foul	5	5
total	570	137

Result

Final score

570 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 87.5 pts

Match videos

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