Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
98.34 – 86.87
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 187
Prediction missed · off by 63.2 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 205.3 ±12.1
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 10.71Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 71.14Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 16.49Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 10.97Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 4.76Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265Event APEX 71.14Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9198, 11297, 9042
57
/ 100 compatProjected
98.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9198, 11297, 9042
Auto
6.9 7%
Teleop
67.4 69%
Endgame
23.7 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8758, 5607, 9032
55
/ 100 compatProjected
86.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8758, 5607, 9032
Auto
14.3 17%
Teleop
55.5 64%
Endgame
16.5 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score98.3pts
Blue projected score86.9pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 11.5
- Score range
- 66–119
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
205.3Season APEX365.2
6.9Auto14.3
67.4Teleop55.5
23.7Endgame16.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 55 |
| teleop | 36 | 73 |
| endgame | 26 | 59 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 72 | 187 |
Result
Final score
72 – 187
Prediction missed · off by 63.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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