Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.1 – 54.61

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

99 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±9.8

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 89.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 49.43Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 43.24Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 105.3 ±12.2

10583Stampede

Season APEX 17.1Event APEX 12.29Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 14Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 28.32Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11417, 6894, 6004

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11417, 6894, 6004

Auto

21.0 12%

Teleop

105.5 58%

Endgame

55.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10583, 6729, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10583, 6729, 9005

Auto

12.8 25%

Teleop

22.4 43%

Endgame

16.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score182.1pts

Blue projected score54.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.5
Score range: 34–203
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 117.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.4Season APEX105.3

21Auto12.8

105.5Teleop22.4

55.6Endgame16.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	19
teleop	50	30
endgame	35	44
foul	0	0
total	99	93

Result

Final score

99 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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