Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
282.98 – 246.75
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
345 – 263
Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 67.68Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265Event APEX 174.88Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 40.42Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±10.8
Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 27.69Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 16.06Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9496LYNK
A+
Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 203Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4534, 9032, 6729
84
/ 100 compatProjected
283 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4534, 9032, 6729
Auto
54.5 19%
Teleop
163.1 57%
Endgame
68.8 24%
Strengths
- · 9032 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7443, 3459, 9496
82
/ 100 compatProjected
246.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7443, 3459, 9496
Auto
61.3 25%
Teleop
134.1 55%
Endgame
48.4 20%
Strengths
- · 9496 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score283pts
Blue projected score246.8pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 36.2
- Score range
- 225–305
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
418.1Season APEX374.8
54.5Auto61.3
163.1Teleop134.1
68.8Endgame48.4
56Consistency8
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 69 |
| teleop | 169 | 159 |
| endgame | 95 | 30 |
| foul | 40 | 5 |
| total | 345 | 263 |
Result
Final score
345 – 263
Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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