Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.69 – 55.59

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

110 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.9 ±9.8

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 41.95Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 82.46Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 19.28Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±11.7

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 4.89Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10260RoboJags

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 27.89Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 22.81Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6004, 2059, 9788

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6004, 2059, 9788

Auto

22.1 15%

Teleop

85.0 58%

Endgame

38.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3336, 10260, 11417

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3336, 10260, 11417

Auto

19.2 35%

Teleop

20.8 37%

Endgame

15.6 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.7pts

Blue projected score55.6pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.1
Score range: 34–166
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 122.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.9Season APEX245.4

22.1Auto19.2

85Teleop20.8

38.2Endgame15.6

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	16
teleop	54	32
endgame	17	23
foul	15	5
total	110	76

Result

Final score

110 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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