Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
66.73 – 97.14
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
59 – 96
Prediction correct · off by 4.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 20.03Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37Event APEX 23.39Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 23.31Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±11.6
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 40.61Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 12.35Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 44.18Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9788, 9005, 9296
45
/ 100 compatProjected
66.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9788, 9005, 9296
Auto
18.3 29%
Teleop
33.0 52%
Endgame
12.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6729, 11146, 9042
52
/ 100 compatProjected
97.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6729, 11146, 9042
Auto
17.1 18%
Teleop
45.8 48%
Endgame
32.5 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score66.7pts
Blue projected score97.1pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.4
- Score range
- 45–119
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.9Season APEX160.1
18.3Auto17.1
33Teleop45.8
12.5Endgame32.5
61Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 10 |
| teleop | 30 | 54 |
| endgame | 16 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 59 | 96 |
Result
Final score
59 – 96
Prediction correct · off by 4.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.