Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.97 – 66.33

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.1 ±10.8

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 195.24Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9789Platinum Ringleaders

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 19.79Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5607Team Firewall

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 38.94Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145.8 ±11.2

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 13.05Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 39.6Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 13.68Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9496, 9789, 5607

/ 100 compat

Projected

254 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 9789, 5607

Auto

69.4 28%

Teleop

142.9 57%

Endgame

39.9 16%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3459, 6004, 6242

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3459, 6004, 6242

Auto

10.1 15%

Teleop

29.1 44%

Endgame

26.5 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score254pts

Blue projected score66.3pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 187.6
Score range: 44–276
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 120.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.1Season APEX145.8

69.4Auto10.1

142.9Teleop29.1

39.9Endgame26.5

28Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	19
teleop	180	44
endgame	90	36
foul	0	5
total	353	104

Result

Final score

353 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.