Qualification · Qualification 59
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
123.75 – 28.55
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
169 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.1 ±11.6
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 24.8Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 79.78Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 19.17Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 6.18Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 21.59Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 0.78Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11297, 2059, 3893
61
/ 100 compatProjected
123.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 11297, 2059, 3893
Auto
17.7 14%
Teleop
72.9 59%
Endgame
32.3 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3336, 5190, 8758
9
/ 100 compatProjected
28.6 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3336, 5190, 8758
Auto
23.4 86%
Teleop
-3.6 0%
Endgame
7.5 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score123.8pts
Blue projected score28.6pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 95.2
- Score range
- 7–146
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
252.1Season APEX113.6
17.7Auto23.4
72.9Teleop-3.6
32.3Endgame7.5
0Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 18 |
| teleop | 112 | 24 |
| endgame | 38 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 169 | 45 |
Result
Final score
169 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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