Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.01 – 170.93

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 80 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 87.3 ±13.3

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 21.35Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10583Stampede

Season APEX 17.1Event APEX 14.23Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10260RoboJags

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 33.43Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.6 ±12.4

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 164.64Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9296TITANium

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 11.56Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4816Gadget Girls

Season APEX 35.4Event APEX -5.27Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3822, 10583, 10260

/ 100 compat

Projected

69 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3822, 10583, 10260

Auto

25.2 36%

Teleop

34.8 50%

Endgame

9.5 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9032, 9296, 4816

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 9296, 4816

Auto

49.5 29%

Teleop

91.4 54%

Endgame

28.9 17%

Strengths

· 9032 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69pts

Blue projected score170.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.9
Score range: 47–193
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 119.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

87.3Season APEX352.6

25.2Auto49.5

34.8Teleop91.4

9.5Endgame28.9

38Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	38
teleop	16	187
endgame	13	83
foul	0	0
total	46	308

Result

Final score

46 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 80 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.