Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
112.42 – 244.22
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
176 – 319
Prediction correct · off by 69.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 8.99Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 71.55Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 31.88Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390 ±11.2
Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 27.16Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 58.1Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265Event APEX 158.96Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11146, 4534, 5607
60
/ 100 compatProjected
112.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11146, 4534, 5607
Auto
28.9 28%
Teleop
39.3 39%
Endgame
33.4 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10260, 4829, 9032
86
/ 100 compatProjected
244.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10260, 4829, 9032
Auto
54.6 23%
Teleop
129.4 54%
Endgame
57.8 24%
Strengths
- · 9032 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score112.4pts
Blue projected score244.2pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -131.8
- Score range
- 91–265
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.6Season APEX390
28.9Auto54.6
39.3Teleop129.4
33.4Endgame57.8
43Consistency57
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 57 |
| teleop | 118 | 204 |
| endgame | 16 | 58 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 176 | 319 |
Result
Final score
176 – 319
Prediction correct · off by 69.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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