Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.46 – 74.51

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.4 ±12.8

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 27.66Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 21.13Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9789Platinum Ringleaders

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 20.67Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 138.4 ±11.6

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 34.97Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 17.12Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 22.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9788, 7443, 9789

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9788, 7443, 9789

Auto

18.6 27%

Teleop

34.0 49%

Endgame

17.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6894, 3822, 9198

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6894, 3822, 9198

Auto

20.9 30%

Teleop

37.3 53%

Endgame

12.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score74.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.1
Score range: 48–96
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 119.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.4Season APEX138.4

18.6Auto20.9

34Teleop37.3

17.5Endgame12.2

34Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	23
teleop	14	62
endgame	19	27
foul	0	0
total	45	112

Result

Final score

45 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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