Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.12 – 58.05

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 45 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.4 ±12

435Robodogs

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 35.57Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4816Gadget Girls

Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 3.36Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 204.19Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 179 ±12.8

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 53.9Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8758Tar-Robo Turtles

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -0.78Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9296TITANium

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 4.93Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 435, 4816, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 435, 4816, 9496

Auto

57.1 24%

Teleop

142.4 60%

Endgame

38.6 16%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4829, 8758, 9296

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4829, 8758, 9296

Auto

27.0 53%

Teleop

14.8 29%

Endgame

9.5 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score243.1pts

Blue projected score58.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.1
Score range: 37–264
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 118.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.4Season APEX179

57.1Auto27

142.4Teleop14.8

38.6Endgame9.5

58Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	18
teleop	100	46
endgame	11	33
foul	0	0
total	192	97

Result

Final score

192 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 45 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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