Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.39 – 90.75

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

290 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.5 ±9.8

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 84.06Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 152.9Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 10.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 121.4 ±11.6

9042SOARIN

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 57.27Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 23.81Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 9.67Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9297, 9032, 3459

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9297, 9032, 3459

Auto

53.3 22%

Teleop

140.4 57%

Endgame

53.6 22%

Strengths

· 9032 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9042, 3893, 3336

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9042, 3893, 3336

Auto

20.8 21%

Teleop

49.3 50%

Endgame

27.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score247.4pts

Blue projected score90.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 156.6
Score range: 70–268
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 119.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.5Season APEX121.4

53.3Auto20.8

140.4Teleop49.3

53.6Endgame27.9

30Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	27
teleop	160	19
endgame	83	5
foul	0	0
total	290	51

Result

Final score

290 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree