Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.69 – 85.11

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.1 ±12.8

10260RoboJags

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 18.67Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 66.25Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 8.77Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.2 ±11.6

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 15.86Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 28.56Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 40.69Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10260, 4534, 7443

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10260, 4534, 7443

Auto

23.1 27%

Teleop

45.4 53%

Endgame

17.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3822, 9788, 6729

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3822, 9788, 6729

Auto

19.8 23%

Teleop

39.0 45%

Endgame

27.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.7pts

Blue projected score85.1pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.6
Score range: 64–115
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 116.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.1Season APEX135.2

23.1Auto19.8

45.4Teleop39

17.1Endgame27.3

77Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	9
teleop	101	53
endgame	33	27
foul	0	5
total	170	94

Result

Final score

170 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree