Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
102.11 – 183.37
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
74 – 325
Prediction correct · off by 84.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 114.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 32Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56Event APEX 41.69Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 28.42Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 265Event APEX 134.25Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 45.42Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 3.7Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5190, 8205, 3893
56
/ 100 compatProjected
102.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5190, 8205, 3893
Auto
18.0 17%
Teleop
61.1 57%
Endgame
28.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9032, 9042, 9789
83
/ 100 compatProjected
183.4 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9032, 9042, 9789
Auto
46.7 25%
Teleop
100.3 54%
Endgame
40.1 21%
Strengths
- · 9032 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score102.1pts
Blue projected score183.4pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -81.3
- Score range
- 81–204
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
114.8Season APEX353.1
18Auto46.7
61.1Teleop100.3
28Endgame40.1
0Consistency46
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 66 |
| teleop | 38 | 173 |
| endgame | 17 | 86 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 74 | 325 |
Result
Final score
74 – 325
Prediction correct · off by 84.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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