Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

55.82 – 47.98

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.3 ±10.4

11146CitrusDuckz

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 14.18Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 11.7Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 29.94Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.8 ±12.8

4816Gadget Girls

Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 0.36Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5607Team Firewall

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 30.53Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 17.09Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11146, 3336, 6894

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11146, 3336, 6894

Auto

21.2 39%

Teleop

9.9 18%

Endgame

23.1 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4816, 5607, 6242

/ 100 compat

Projected

48 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4816, 5607, 6242

Auto

17.2 38%

Teleop

13.9 31%

Endgame

14.3 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.8pts

Blue projected score48pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.8
Score range: 27–77
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 116.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.3Season APEX136.8

21.2Auto17.2

9.9Teleop13.9

23.1Endgame14.3

36Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	23
teleop	36	17
endgame	18	5
foul	0	0
total	79	45

Result

Final score

79 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.