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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FNC District UNC Pembroke Event

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.28 – 66.09

67%33%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

159 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 69.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 317 ±10.4
2059The Hitchhikers
C
Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 80.52Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11417Nano Knights
B
Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 27.93Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3459Team PyroTech
D
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 12.83Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.3 ±12.2
4534Wired Wizards
C
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 54.84Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11297Iron Corsairs
C
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 17.08Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9296TITANium
D
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -5.83Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2059, 11417, 3459
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
121.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2059, 11417, 3459
Auto
10.4 8%
Teleop
73.5 60%
Endgame
39.2 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4534, 11297, 9296
44
/ 100 compat
Projected
66.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4534, 11297, 9296
Auto
12.5 20%
Teleop
30.0 47%
Endgame
21.2 33%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score121.3pts
Blue projected score66.1pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
55.2
Score range
45–142
Upset likelihood
33%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 114.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317Season APEX268.3
10.4Auto12.5
73.5Teleop30
39.2Endgame21.2
45Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2534
teleop8881
endgame4623
foul030
total159168

Result

Final score

159 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 69.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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