Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.35 – 145.32

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 122 ±12.2

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 15.89Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 25.35Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10260RoboJags

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 15.11Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.4 ±10.5

9042SOARIN

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 51.29Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 50.03Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 44Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9198, 9788, 10260

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9198, 9788, 10260

Auto

22.2 44%

Teleop

20.3 40%

Endgame

7.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9042, 4829, 6004

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9042, 4829, 6004

Auto

24.4 17%

Teleop

73.5 51%

Endgame

47.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.4pts

Blue projected score145.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89
Score range: 35–166
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 114.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

122Season APEX211.4

22.2Auto24.4

20.3Teleop73.5

7.8Endgame47

78Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	20
teleop	49	88
endgame	26	38
foul	0	0
total	95	146

Result

Final score

95 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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