Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

141.48 – 228.19

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.3 ±11.7

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 35Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 97.51Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9789Platinum Ringleaders

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 8.97Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.2 ±10.2

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 13.67Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 26.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 187.88Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6894, 9297, 9789

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6894, 9297, 9789

Auto

22.6 16%

Teleop

73.9 53%

Endgame

41.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6242, 6639, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6242, 6639, 9496

Auto

58.2 26%

Teleop

120.7 54%

Endgame

46.1 20%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.5pts

Blue projected score228.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.7
Score range: 121–248
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 389 vs event baseline 112.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.3Season APEX508.2

22.6Auto58.2

73.9Teleop120.7

41.9Endgame46.1

85Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	36
teleop	75	201
endgame	15	35
foul	5	0
total	117	272

Result

Final score

117 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree