Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.14 – 192.77

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252 ±12.2

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 41.06Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8758Tar-Robo Turtles

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 5.52Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 22.56Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.5 ±10.5

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 144.64Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 25.14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11146CitrusDuckz

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 22.99Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6729, 8758, 11417

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6729, 8758, 11417

Auto

9.4 13%

Teleop

32.9 46%

Endgame

28.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9032, 3822, 11146

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 3822, 11146

Auto

49.1 27%

Teleop

94.8 52%

Endgame

38.7 21%

Strengths

· 9032 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.1pts

Blue projected score192.8pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -123.6
Score range: 49–213
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 113.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252Season APEX362.5

9.4Auto49.1

32.9Teleop94.8

28.7Endgame38.7

25Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	64
teleop	50	50
endgame	19	30
foul	0	0
total	89	144

Result

Final score

89 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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