Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
62.64 – 74.11
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
53 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.9 ±12.4
Season APEX 17.1Event APEX 23Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 29.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 10Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.6 ±11
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 1.62Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 44.83Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 27.66Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10583, 6639, 8758
43
/ 100 compatProjected
62.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10583, 6639, 8758
Auto
21.2 35%
Teleop
25.6 42%
Endgame
14.5 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3459, 4829, 6729
52
/ 100 compatProjected
74.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3459, 4829, 6729
Auto
14.0 18%
Teleop
36.4 47%
Endgame
27.7 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score62.6pts
Blue projected score74.1pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -11.5
- Score range
- 43–94
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
226.9Season APEX182.6
21.2Auto14
25.6Teleop36.4
14.5Endgame27.7
89Consistency118
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 19 |
| teleop | 21 | 65 |
| endgame | 11 | 50 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 53 | 134 |
Result
Final score
53 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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