Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.09 – 146.26

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.8 ±12.7

9296TITANium

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 17.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 43.45Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 33.66Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.2 ±9.8

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 37.91Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 27.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 81.24Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9296, 6729, 9198

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9296, 6729, 9198

Auto

11.2 13%

Teleop

46.0 55%

Endgame

26.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6004, 3336, 9297

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6004, 3336, 9297

Auto

22.6 16%

Teleop

69.4 50%

Endgame

46.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.1pts

Blue projected score146.3pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.2
Score range: 71–170
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 134.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.8Season APEX215.2

11.2Auto22.6

46Teleop69.4

26.5Endgame46.7

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	13
teleop	34	93
endgame	8	53
foul	0	0
total	49	159

Result

Final score

49 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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