Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.53 – 39.3

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

200 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 24.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.7 ±9.4

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 185.74Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX -2.35Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 54.14Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 109.2 ±11.7

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 34.03Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10260RoboJags

Season APEX 32.9Event APEX 3.17Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 2.1Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9496, 3336, 4829

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 3336, 4829

Auto

59.8 25%

Teleop

135.5 58%

Endgame

39.9 17%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9005, 10260, 3459

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9005, 10260, 3459

Auto

13.8 40%

Teleop

20.3 59%

Endgame

0.5 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score237.5pts

Blue projected score39.3pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 198.2
Score range: 19–258
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 111.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435.7Season APEX109.2

59.8Auto13.8

135.5Teleop20.3

39.9Endgame0.5

56Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	20
teleop	80	23
endgame	36	8
foul	0	0
total	200	51

Result

Final score

200 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 24.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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