Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
88.25 – 60.31
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 95
Prediction missed · off by 40 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 121.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 40.44Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 28.8Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 19.01Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 25.65Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 21.87Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 12.79Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3893, 4816, 11146
56
/ 100 compatProjected
88.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3893, 4816, 11146
Auto
22.7 27%
Teleop
38.9 47%
Endgame
21.9 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6729, 6639, 7443
46
/ 100 compatProjected
60.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6729, 6639, 7443
Auto
5.3 9%
Teleop
39.8 64%
Endgame
16.8 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score88.3pts
Blue projected score60.3pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 27.9
- Score range
- 40–108
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
121.9Season APEX264.6
22.7Auto5.3
38.9Teleop39.8
21.9Endgame16.8
117Consistency148
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 9 |
| teleop | 14 | 52 |
| endgame | 10 | 34 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 95 |
Result
Final score
43 – 95
Prediction missed · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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