Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.98 – 102.23

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 489.6 ±10

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 226.95Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3893K-T Extinction

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 21.14Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 24.89Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.9 ±11

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 17.76Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 70.47Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9496, 3893, 11417

/ 100 compat

Projected

273 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 3893, 11417

Auto

63.5 23%

Teleop

151.5 55%

Endgame

59.6 22%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9005, 3822, 2059

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9005, 3822, 2059

Auto

24.5 25%

Teleop

52.9 53%

Endgame

22.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273pts

Blue projected score102.2pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.8
Score range: 78–297
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 134.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

489.6Season APEX185.9

63.5Auto24.5

151.5Teleop52.9

59.6Endgame22

3Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	17
teleop	188	45
endgame	81	34
foul	0	10
total	313	106

Result

Final score

313 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.