Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.59 – 95.62

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.3 ±12.2

4816Gadget Girls

Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 10.77Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 29.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11297Iron Corsairs

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 29.46Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.6 ±12.2

435Robodogs

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 51.7Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2059The Hitchhikers

Season APEX 111.6Event APEX 26.6Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 17.32Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4816, 6894, 11297

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4816, 6894, 11297

Auto

7.0 9%

Teleop

47.3 61%

Endgame

22.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 435, 2059, 6729

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 435, 2059, 6729

Auto

1.3 2%

Teleop

56.4 68%

Endgame

25.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.6pts

Blue projected score95.6pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26
Score range: 50–116
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 113.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.3Season APEX218.6

7Auto1.3

47.3Teleop56.4

22.7Endgame25.4

59Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	15
teleop	38	80
endgame	12	52
foul	0	0
total	74	147

Result

Final score

74 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.