Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.88 – 95.39

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 146

Prediction missed · off by 75.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 467 ±11.2

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 77.7Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6242Chaos Theory

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 23.86Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 108.32Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.7 ±10.4

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 46.27Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9788R.A.M.

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 11.52Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 37.6Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11417, 6242, 9032

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11417, 6242, 9032

Auto

33.7 16%

Teleop

118.4 55%

Endgame

63.2 29%

Strengths

· 9032 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4534, 9788, 4829

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4534, 9788, 4829

Auto

7.8 8%

Teleop

56.2 60%

Endgame

29.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score209.9pts

Blue projected score95.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.5
Score range: 77–228
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 102.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

467Season APEX240.7

33.7Auto7.8

118.4Teleop56.2

63.2Endgame29.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	35
teleop	49	70
endgame	12	41
foul	5	0
total	109	146

Result

Final score

109 – 146

Prediction missed · off by 75.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.