Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
98.95 – 28.27
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
28 – 59
Prediction missed · off by 50.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 133 ±12.2
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 25.43Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.4Event APEX 30.58Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 42.94Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.9 ±11
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 5.87Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 8.74Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 13.66Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6729, 4816, 3336
58
/ 100 compatProjected
98.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6729, 4816, 3336
Auto
2.7 3%
Teleop
70.7 69%
Endgame
29.3 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9198, 11146, 3459
22
/ 100 compatProjected
28.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9198, 11146, 3459
Auto
13.6 67%
Teleop
1.6 8%
Endgame
5.1 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score98.9pts
Blue projected score28.3pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 70.7
- Score range
- 9–118
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
133Season APEX141.9
2.7Auto13.6
70.7Teleop1.6
29.3Endgame5.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 13 |
| teleop | 13 | 31 |
| endgame | 2 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 28 | 59 |
Result
Final score
28 – 59
Prediction missed · off by 50.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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