Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.18 – 134.8

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131 ±12.2

7443Jag-Wires

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 29.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5190Falcon Fury

Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 24.67Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11146CitrusDuckz

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 8.26Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.8 ±10.4

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 63.59Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8205Mind Over Metal

Season APEX 56Event APEX 26.04Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 45.17Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7443, 5190, 11146

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7443, 5190, 11146

Auto

19.5 37%

Teleop

22.7 43%

Endgame

10.5 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4829, 8205, 6894

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4829, 8205, 6894

Auto

26.7 21%

Teleop

67.4 52%

Endgame

35.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.2pts

Blue projected score134.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.6
Score range: 38–159
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 134.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131Season APEX206.8

19.5Auto26.7

22.7Teleop67.4

10.5Endgame35.8

63Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	20
teleop	24	91
endgame	13	62
foul	0	0
total	58	173

Result

Final score

58 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.