Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

464.92 – 172.11

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

447 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 75 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 608.6 ±8.8

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 205.46Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 29.34Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 230.12Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±10.4

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 75.17Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 71.05Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 25.89Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 3336, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

464.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9032, 3336, 9496

Auto

95.3 21%

Teleop

257.7 56%

Endgame

110.4 24%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4534, 4829, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.1 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4534, 4829, 9005

Auto

30.7 19%

Teleop

83.9 52%

Endgame

46.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score464.9pts

Blue projected score172.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 292.8
Score range: 148–489
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 487 vs event baseline 131.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

608.6Season APEX231

95.3Auto30.7

257.7Teleop83.9

110.4Endgame46.3

0Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	24
teleop	241	16
endgame	91	0
foul	5	0
total	447	40

Result

Final score

447 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 75 pts

Match videos

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