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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FNC District Elon University Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.76 – 186.44

64%36%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 75.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.7 ±9.3
11146CitrusDuckz
D
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 14.6Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3506YETI Robotics
B
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 108.24Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4795Eastbots
A
Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 109.92Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.9 ±11
7918ReCuRsIoN
C
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 78.79Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9297BOGOBOTS
C
Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 80.35Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3822Neon Krakens
D
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 27.3Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11146, 3506, 4795
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
232.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 11146, 3506, 4795
Auto
50.2 22%
Teleop
131.5 57%
Endgame
50.7 22%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7918, 9297, 3822
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
186.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7918, 9297, 3822
Auto
22.1 12%
Teleop
110.2 61%
Endgame
49.4 27%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score232.8pts
Blue projected score186.4pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
46.3
Score range
163–256
Upset likelihood
36%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 570 vs event baseline 129.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.7Season APEX218.9
50.2Auto22.1
131.5Teleop110.2
50.7Endgame49.4
60Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto8133
teleop163136
endgame8468
foul05
total328242

Result

Final score

328 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 75.4 pts

Match videos

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