Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
124.49 – 79.54
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
179 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 27.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.3 ±11
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 49.24Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 32.01Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 43.24Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.1 ±11
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 25.9Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 23.3Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 30.34Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 900, 587, 2640
60
/ 100 compatProjected
124.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 900, 587, 2640
Auto
15.7 13%
Teleop
62.1 53%
Endgame
39.2 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4829, 6729, 8757
48
/ 100 compatProjected
79.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 4829, 6729, 8757
Auto
13.4 17%
Teleop
40.4 51%
Endgame
24.8 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.5pts
Blue projected score79.5pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 44.9
- Score range
- 57–147
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
275.3Season APEX195.1
15.7Auto13.4
62.1Teleop40.4
39.2Endgame24.8
49Consistency37
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 22 |
| teleop | 116 | 35 |
| endgame | 52 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 179 | 79 |
Result
Final score
179 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 27.5 pts
Match videos
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