Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.36 – 76.12

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

179 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.5 ±9.3

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 18.98Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 112.64Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 116.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.5 ±11.1

10354Sting

Season APEX 31Event APEX 21.56Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 33.32Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 21.24Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9559, 3506, 4795

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9559, 3506, 4795

Auto

50.3 20%

Teleop

144.7 58%

Endgame

56.3 22%

Strengths

· 4795 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10354, 7763, 4861

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10354, 7763, 4861

Auto

11.9 17%

Teleop

45.5 67%

Endgame

10.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score248.4pts

Blue projected score76.1pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 172.2
Score range: 53–271
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 126.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476.5Season APEX187.5

50.3Auto11.9

144.7Teleop45.5

56.3Endgame10.9

62Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	25
teleop	91	24
endgame	52	25
foul	0	0
total	179	74

Result

Final score

179 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.