Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
43.72 – 116.46
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
68 – 77
Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 79.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 33.71Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 0.3Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 9.71Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273 ±11
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 33.71Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 12.46Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 70.29Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6240, 10412, 3822
45
/ 100 compatProjected
43.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6240, 10412, 3822
Auto
10.6 24%
Teleop
19.1 44%
Endgame
14.0 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4935, 2640, 11297
70
/ 100 compatProjected
116.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4935, 2640, 11297
Auto
19.5 19%
Teleop
60.2 58%
Endgame
24.0 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score43.7pts
Blue projected score116.5pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -72.7
- Score range
- 24–136
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
79.5Season APEX273
10.6Auto19.5
19.1Teleop60.2
14Endgame24
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 26 |
| teleop | 30 | 33 |
| endgame | 19 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 68 | 77 |
Result
Final score
68 – 77
Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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