Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
104.23 – 47.07
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
135 – 136
Prediction missed · off by 59.9 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.9 ±11.1
Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 12.86Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 38.97Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 52.4Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.1 ±11
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 12.86Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 23.64Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 10.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9607, 6729, 4795
58
/ 100 compatProjected
104.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9607, 6729, 4795
Auto
12.5 13%
Teleop
74.0 76%
Endgame
10.7 11%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8757, 9297, 10304
40
/ 100 compatProjected
47.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8757, 9297, 10304
Auto
7.9 18%
Teleop
30.1 70%
Endgame
4.9 11%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.2pts
Blue projected score47.1pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 57.2
- Score range
- 27–124
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Upset
Close match
High scoring
Combined score 271 vs event baseline 108.8.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304.9Season APEX190.1
12.5Auto7.9
74Teleop30.1
10.7Endgame4.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 21 |
| teleop | 84 | 47 |
| endgame | 19 | 63 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 135 | 136 |
Result
Final score
135 – 136
Prediction missed · off by 59.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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