Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
71.97 – 126.33
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
64 – 174
Prediction correct · off by 27.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 108.6 ±12.1
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 25.88Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24Event APEX 22.97Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 23.12Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 109.51Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 15.23Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 1.59Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6729, 5919, 4861
43
/ 100 compatProjected
72 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6729, 5919, 4861
Auto
11.5 16%
Teleop
48.5 68%
Endgame
11.0 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3506, 9559, 11285
66
/ 100 compatProjected
126.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3506, 9559, 11285
Auto
27.2 21%
Teleop
75.7 57%
Endgame
28.8 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72pts
Blue projected score126.3pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -54.4
- Score range
- 49–149
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
108.6Season APEX295.1
11.5Auto27.2
48.5Teleop75.7
11Endgame28.8
85Consistency94
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 32 |
| teleop | 39 | 110 |
| endgame | 17 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 64 | 174 |
Result
Final score
64 – 174
Prediction correct · off by 27.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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